by user Mjhasley Since the beginning of this election cycle, I’ve believed that the Democrats will win the election of 2008, which makes the primary season so important, because whoever becomes the nominee, is certain to become president. So why do I think this? In 1998, I found a book, the Keys to the White House written by Allan J. Lichtman, Professor of History at American University. The book, as he puts it, the Keys: A strong vindication of this system. So, what are the keys: KEY 2 (Contest): There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination. 7 falses and 1 more possible false. '