About: Futurology: S-Curve   Sponge Permalink

An Entity of Type : owl:Thing, within Data Space : dbkwik.org associated with source dataset(s)

S-curve (S-shaped curve) is a graph commonly encountered when plotting various aspects of technological developments. For example, growth of knowledge in a newly opened field (Isenson and Hartman models), adoption of a new technology are often very well described by an S-curve. The illustration shows how successive technologies for tire cords (cotton, rayon, nylon and polyester) outperformed older ones and replaced them in the marketplace. After a certain point spending money on research in the old field is simply pointless and the old technology dies out.

AttributesValues
rdfs:label
  • Futurology: S-Curve
rdfs:comment
  • S-curve (S-shaped curve) is a graph commonly encountered when plotting various aspects of technological developments. For example, growth of knowledge in a newly opened field (Isenson and Hartman models), adoption of a new technology are often very well described by an S-curve. The illustration shows how successive technologies for tire cords (cotton, rayon, nylon and polyester) outperformed older ones and replaced them in the marketplace. After a certain point spending money on research in the old field is simply pointless and the old technology dies out.
dcterms:subject
abstract
  • S-curve (S-shaped curve) is a graph commonly encountered when plotting various aspects of technological developments. For example, growth of knowledge in a newly opened field (Isenson and Hartman models), adoption of a new technology are often very well described by an S-curve. The illustration shows how successive technologies for tire cords (cotton, rayon, nylon and polyester) outperformed older ones and replaced them in the marketplace. After a certain point spending money on research in the old field is simply pointless and the old technology dies out. Similar graphs can be made for generational changes in various areas, with new products starting small, gaining momentum, quickly winning the marketplace and then slowly reaching the saturation. S-curve can be modelled by a logistic function. "One adaptation of the S-curve is known as the envelope S-curve, which takes into consideration successive generations of technologies that provide the same benefits. The term "envelope" refers to the curve that connects the tangents of the successive individual S-shaped curves." [1] A combination of successive S-curves can produce linearly or exponentially growing graph. For example, many successive paradigms in computing, taken together produce exponential growth in computational capacity over 100 years (Kurzweil, 2001, 2003).
Alternative Linked Data Views: ODE     Raw Data in: CXML | CSV | RDF ( N-Triples N3/Turtle JSON XML ) | OData ( Atom JSON ) | Microdata ( JSON HTML) | JSON-LD    About   
This material is Open Knowledge   W3C Semantic Web Technology [RDF Data] Valid XHTML + RDFa
OpenLink Virtuoso version 07.20.3217, on Linux (x86_64-pc-linux-gnu), Standard Edition
Data on this page belongs to its respective rights holders.
Virtuoso Faceted Browser Copyright © 2009-2012 OpenLink Software